Key events
Speaking of oil, U.S. crude oil inventories fell last week while gasoline and distillate inventories rose, new data from the Energy Information Administration shows.
The EIA reports that crude oil inventories fell by 3.7 million barrels to 429.3 million barrels in the week ended August 2; Analysts had expected a smaller decline of 700,000 barrels.
BREAKING: Weekly EIA data suggests a new all-time record for U.S. oil production of 13.4 million barrels per day.
— Patrick De Haan ⛽️📊 (@GasBuddyGuy) August 7, 2024
EIA Weekly Oil Report
US Crude Oil🛢Oil Inventories:
*With SPR barrels are⬆️ 2023 levels
* Excluding SPR, barrels are at 2023 levels and will likely end the summer season at their lowest level in years— Jorge ARJONA (@jorge_moj) August 7, 2024
Oil prices continue to rise, with Brent crude now up 2% to $78 a barrel.
Oil prices are reportedly receiving support from growing concerns about supply shortages and disruptions due to ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East Rania Gulesenior market analyst XS.com.
Gule adds:
Notably, Hamas announced yesterday the appointment of Yahya Sinwar as its new leader in Gaza following the assassination of former Politburo chief Ismail Haniyeh.
There are fears of possible escalation in the region as Iran and its allies have vowed to retaliate against Israel and the United States for Haniyeh’s death. This could provide near-term fundamental support to oil prices.
The overall picture shows that most global stock markets are still in positive territory over the course of the year.
The UK’s FTSE 100 has gained 5% since the start of January, while the US S&P 500 is up over 11% for 2024.
Frankly, I don’t understand all the noise about the market crashing this week:
Stock markets since the beginning of the year
Dow: +4.5%
S&P 500: +12.13%
Nasdaq: +13.06Yes, the indices fell last week and on Monday, but face it, it’s a market after all. pic.twitter.com/5RCDneuNFi
— ✙ Constantine ✙ (@Teoyaomiquu) August 7, 2024
US Big Tech stocks rally
Technology stocks are among the risers on Wall Street as markets continue to stabilize.
Salesforce.com (+3%), Amazon.com (+2.5%), Apple (+2.27%) and Microsoft (+2.2%) are among the top movers Dow Jones industrial average.
Stock prices are also rising in London – the FTSE 100 index has now risen by 1.6% to 8,155 points.
Airbnb shares fall 14%
However, Airbnb is not invited to the rally.
Shares of Airbnb plunged 14% after the company reported signs of slowing demand from U.S. customers and missed analyst expectations for second-quarter results last night.
Wall Street opens higher
Ding, ding, the opening bell rings at the New York Stock Exchange…
…and up, up, the shares!
The Dow Jones industrial average, which includes 30 large US companies, rose 0.6% to 39,231 points, an increase of 233 points.
The wider S&P 500 Index has gained more than 1%…. and the technology-oriented one Nasdaq increased by 1.5%.
The S&P 500 rose 56.32 points, or 1.07 percent, to 5,296.35 after the market opened
DOW JONES INCREASES 233.88 POINTS OR 0.60 PERCENT TO 39,231.54 AFTER THE MARKET OPENS
NASDAQ rose 251.63 points or 1.54 percent to 16,618.48 points after the market opened
– First Squawk (@FirstSquawk) August 7, 2024
The news that the Bank of Japan fears further interest rate hikes in the current climate is clearly pleasing to US investors.
After recent volatility, the pound is a little calmer today.
Sterling rose 0.2% against the US dollar to $1.2712, after hitting a five-week low of $1.267 yesterday.
It also gained nearly 2% against the yen, at ¥186.92 per pound.
With just 30 minutes until trading begins, Wall Street is on its way to a rally…
Americans’ demand for new home loans and debt consolidation deals surged last week after borrowing costs fell.
According to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s seasonally adjusted index, total mortgage application volume increased 6.9% last week compared to the previous week.
The 30-year mortgage rate fell to a 15-month low of 6.55% last week, but mortgage purchase applications rose just a scant 0.8%. However, refinancing activity increased by 16%. We expect mortgage activity to increase as interest rates fall. pic.twitter.com/EuQtSd4dIl
— Cetera Investment Management (@ceteraIM) August 7, 2024
Analyst: The markets are stabilizing
Risk appetite reportedly improved a bit further today, largely thanks to the lack of “big bearish news.” Fawad Razaqzada, Market analyst at City index And FOREX.com
With the economic calendar also bleak, investors are assessing last week’s events more soberly, noting that there may have been a slight overreaction to the Bank of Japan’s stronger-than-expected monetary tightening last week, which triggered all the volatility, as investors were forced to exit carry trades.
That doesn’t mean we’re completely out of the woods yet. But there is at least some stabilization in the markets, which should allow some markets to realign with fundamentals.
Walt Disney’s profits beat market estimates, but the parks’ profits fell
Walt Disney beat Wall Street expectations with its latest financial results, despite declining revenue from its theme parks.
Disney reported an increase in revenue to $23.2 billion in its most recent quarter, up from $22.3 billion a year earlier.
This helped the company return to profitability with a pre-tax profit of $3.1 billion, compared to a loss of $100 million in the second quarter of 2023.
The entertainment division’s operating profit more than doubled. This was due in part to the success of the animated Pixar film “Inside Out 2,” which Disney said grossed more than $1.5 billion worldwide, making it the highest-grossing animated film of all time.
But revenue from Disney’s Experiences division, including theme parks, fell 3%.
Shares of Disney rose 0.3% in premarket trading.
📈Walt Disney $DIS
💰Results💰💲Earnings per share:
$1.39 versus expected $1.12. ✅
💵Revenue:
23.2 B versus 23.08 B expected. ✅Summary
-Sales increased year over year from $22.3 billion to $23.2 billion
- Diluted earnings per share improved to $1.43 after a loss of $0.25 in the… pic.twitter.com/Hc7PEhbRkF— LWS Financial Research (@lwsresearch) August 7, 2024
Garry White, Chief investment commentator at Charles Stanleysays:
“Walt Disney’s third quarter results exceeded market expectations and management increased full-year profit guidance. The combined streaming service was profitable — and that profitability is expected to improve due to price increases in the current quarter. Disney’s studio business performed well From the inside out 2 And Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes Both are high-grossing films.
These are not “Mickey Mouse” numbers, but markets are nervous right now and focused on the negative. Although the statement was optimistic, the news from the Magic Kingdom wasn’t as magical. The slowdown at iconic theme parks following a surge resulting from the Covid-19 pandemic is expected to continue over the next few quarters, with fourth-quarter revenue expected to decline year-on-year.
Catch up at lunchtime
Time for a quick overview of the markets.
Stocks rallied on bourses in Asia-Pacific and across Europe after a senior policymaker at the Bank of Japan sought to allay fears of further interest rate hikes.
Japan Nikkei continued its recovery from Monday’s slump, rising 1.2% while Hong Kong hanging Sing The index rose almost 1.4% and South Korea’s Kospi rose by 2.15%.
In Europe, the United Kingdom FTSE 100 The index is now up 90 points, or 1.13%, adding to earlier gains as traders anticipate a rally on Wall Street.
Germany DAX is 1.25% higher than in France CAC increased by 1.6%.
Stocks rose after Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida suggested the BoJ would not raise interest rates if markets were unstable.
Uchida told business leaders that volatility in domestic and foreign financial markets meant “it is necessary to maintain the current level of monetary easing for the time being.”
David Morrisonsenior market analyst at a fintech and financial services provider trading nation Uchida said the comments allayed fears that the BOJ would rush to raise interest rates further after last week’s larger-than-expected rate hike that preceded the recent stock market slide.
Morrison adds:
The speech helped weaken the yen and give back some of last month’s outsized gains. This should take some pressure off those still exposed to the yen carry trade, of which there are still a significant number.
The US Dollar Index is firmer this morning, mainly thanks to the weaker Yen and also a rise in US bond yields. All European stock indexes were stronger in early trading. Tensions have eased somewhat and bargain hunters are looking for beaten-down stocks. But as with any earthmoving event, it makes sense to prepare for aftershocks.
Wall Street looks set to open higher today.
On the futures market it is S&P 500 The index is on track for a 1.2% gain, with a focus on technology Nasdaq 1.4% higher.
Oil prices are also recovering today, with Brent crude rising 1.5% to $77.64 a barrel.
That lifts the price from Monday’s low of $75/barrel, the weakest since early January.
⚠ BRENT COMMODITY FUTURES LCOc1 RISE $1 TO $77.48 PER BARREL
— PiQ (@PiQSuite) August 7, 2024

